{"id":2584,"date":"2012-08-02T08:14:15","date_gmt":"2012-08-02T12:14:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/?p=2584"},"modified":"2014-03-07T12:48:33","modified_gmt":"2014-03-07T17:48:33","slug":"any-risk-to-prospective-free-cash-flows-must-be-used-when-discounting-free-cash-flows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/2012\/08\/02\/any-risk-to-prospective-free-cash-flows-must-be-used-when-discounting-free-cash-flows\/","title":{"rendered":"Any Risk To Prospective Free Cash Flows Must Be Used When Determining Discount Rate for Share Prices"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Imagine if surgeons used same methods as 50 years ago-Crazy, right?<\/p>\n<p>Then why are investors using same tools to analyze risk, given superior methods are available?-see\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/amzn.to\/T4x71d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">http:\/\/amzn.to\/T4x71d<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sales, cost of sales, SG&amp;A\u00a0and\u00a0tax rate stability. Free cash flows and operating\u00a0cash\u00a0flows with the making of proper adjustments. Self-insurance. Litigation. Credit.\u00a0Derivatives. Yield Spreads, etc, etc. If you are not doing this as part of your risk analysis and much much more, you don&#8217;t know how to analyze and quantify risk. Your are using the wrong discount rate ( cost of equity) in concluding the fair valuation of the enterprise and share price.<\/p>\n<p>I show you how.<\/p>\n<p>Stop using the same tools as investors who continually dole out poor advise.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Order Security Valuation and Risk Analysis. After all, it took 40 years of my experience in this business to write<\/p>\n<p class=\"facebook\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/share.php?u=https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/2012\/08\/02\/any-risk-to-prospective-free-cash-flows-must-be-used-when-discounting-free-cash-flows\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Share on Facebook\">Share on Facebook<\/a><\/p><div class=\"tweetthis\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><p> <a class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/home\/?status=Any+Risk+To+Prospective+Free+Cash+Flows+Must+Be+Used+When+Determining+Discount+Rate+for+Share+Prices+https%3A%2F%2Fwww.credittrends.com%2Fblog%2F%3Fp%3D2584\" title=\"Post to Twitter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"nothumb lazyload\" data-src=\"http:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/tweet-this\/icons\/en\/twitter\/tt-twitter.png\" alt=\"Post to Twitter\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==\" \/><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"nothumb\" src=\"http:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/tweet-this\/icons\/en\/twitter\/tt-twitter.png\" alt=\"Post to Twitter\" \/><\/noscript><\/a> <a class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/home\/?status=Any+Risk+To+Prospective+Free+Cash+Flows+Must+Be+Used+When+Determining+Discount+Rate+for+Share+Prices+https%3A%2F%2Fwww.credittrends.com%2Fblog%2F%3Fp%3D2584\" title=\"Post to Twitter\">Tweet This Post<\/a><\/p><\/div><!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Imagine if surgeons used same methods as 50 years ago-Crazy, right? Then why are investors using same tools to analyze risk, given superior methods are available?-see\u00a0http:\/\/amzn.to\/T4x71d Sales, cost of sales, SG&amp;A\u00a0and\u00a0tax rate stability. Free cash flows and operating\u00a0cash\u00a0flows with the making of proper adjustments. Self-insurance. Litigation. Credit.\u00a0Derivatives. Yield Spreads, etc, etc. If you are not [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n<p class=\"facebook\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/share.php?u=https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/2012\/08\/02\/any-risk-to-prospective-free-cash-flows-must-be-used-when-discounting-free-cash-flows\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Share on Facebook\">Share on Facebook<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2584","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2584","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2584"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2584\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2717,"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2584\/revisions\/2717"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2584"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2584"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.credittrends.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2584"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}